Model Predictions
| Model | Syracuse Orange | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.7% | 98.3% | +29.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +22.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +37 (101-64). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Kingz * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -10.6 |
| Naithan George * | 33 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -4.1 |
| JJ Starling * | 26 | 3-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | -5.9 |
| William Kyle III * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -2.0 |
| Donnie Freeman * | 21 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | -5.5 |
| Kiyan Anthony | 18 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -20.6 |
| Tyler Betsey | 16 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -11.3 |
| Ibrahim Souare | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -18.1 |
| Sadiq White Jr. | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.9 |
| Bryce Zephir | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.3 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Evans * | 26 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | +12.6 |
| Patrick Ngongba II * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +11.0 |
| Cam. Boozer * | 25 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 24 | +20.7 |
| Dame Sarr * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | +7.4 |
| Caleb Foster * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Nik Khamenia | 24 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +26.7 |
| Cay. Boozer | 21 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +26.5 |
| Maliq Brown | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +12.0 |
| Darren Harris | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Cameron Sheffield | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.7 |
| Jack Scott | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.8 |
* = starter