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2026-03-29

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 33.6% 66.4% - โœ—
Margin 16.6% 83.4% +8.9 โœ— (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 15.9% 84.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 18.6% 81.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 18.3% 81.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 29.7% 70.3% - โœ—

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -1 (72-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Karaban 38 2-10 1-6 0-0 3 3 0 2 0 5 3 +5.5
Tarris Reed Jr. 32 10-16 0-0 6-9 9 3 2 4 2 26 26 -4.4
Solo Ball 30 3-11 0-5 4-5 2 2 2 0 0 10 5 +2.0
Braylon Mullins 26 4-10 1-5 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 10 1 +4.2
Silas Demary Jr. 23 4-9 2-5 1-2 5 2 1 1 2 11 9 -7.1
Jayden Ross 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 5 +3.9
Malachi Smith 18 4-7 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 9 5 +12.2
Eric Reibe 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 4 +2.4
Jaylin Stewart 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -2.2

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam. Boozer 39 10-21 1-4 6-8 8 4 0 2 4 27 16 +14.8
Isaiah Evans 29 2-6 1-4 2-2 0 0 0 2 1 7 2 -0.8
Dame Sarr 28 4-5 2-3 0-2 4 1 0 0 1 10 9 -3.5
Cay. Boozer 28 4-5 1-1 6-6 5 6 2 0 3 15 20 +8.8
Patrick Ngongba 22 2-4 0-2 2-4 5 3 1 1 0 6 12 -10.1
Nikolas Khamenia 22 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 7 6 +1.2
Maliq Brown 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 4 +11.3
Caleb Foster 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 0 0 -2.2
Darren Harris 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter