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2026-03-29

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 38.9% 61.1% -
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% -
Margin 17.0% 83.0% +8.7 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% -
Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.6% 81.4% -
Log Adjusted 18.2% 81.8% -
Points Off/Def 29.2% 70.8% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -1 (72-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Karaban 38 2-10 1-6 0-0 3 3 0 2 0 5 3 -
T. Reed Jr. 32 10-16 0-0 6-9 9 3 2 4 2 26 26 -
S. Ball 30 3-11 0-5 4-5 2 2 2 0 0 10 5 -
B. Mullins 26 4-10 1-5 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 10 1 -
S. Demary Jr. 23 4-9 2-5 1-2 5 2 1 1 2 11 9 -
J. Ross 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 5 -
M. Smith 18 4-7 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 9 5 -
E. Reibe 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 4 -
J. Stewart 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam. Boozer 39 10-21 1-4 6-8 8 4 0 2 4 27 16 -
I. Evans 29 2-6 1-4 2-2 0 0 0 2 1 7 2 -
D. Sarr 28 4-5 2-3 0-2 4 1 0 0 1 10 9 -
Cay. Boozer 28 4-5 1-1 6-6 5 6 2 0 3 15 20 -
N. Khamenia 22 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 7 6 -
P. Ngongba II 22 2-4 0-2 2-4 5 3 1 1 0 6 12 -
M. Brown 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 4 -
C. Foster 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 0 0 -
D. Harris 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter