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Duke

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History
Coach: Mike Krzyzewski

2011 Team Stats (36 games)

80.9
PPG
64.9
Opp
+16.0
Margin
47.2%
FG%
37.4%
3P%
75.1%
FT%
37.7
RPG
14.2
APG
12.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
81.9
Adj PPG
60.0
Adj Opp PPG
#2
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1469 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1381 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More → 1181 (#12) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +23.1 (#2) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +20.4 (#2) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.929 (#4) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.8 More → 0.981 (#2) AdjNet +33.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +34.1 More → 0.981 (#2) AdjNet +34.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.9 | AdjD 60.0 More → 0.880 (#2) AdjO 81.9 | AdjD 60.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 61.6 More → 0.798 (#2) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 61.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.915 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.905 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 37 More → 1375 (#5) RD 98 | GP 37

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-14 vs Princeton Tigers W 97 - 60
2010-11-16 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 79 - 45
2010-11-19 vs Colgate Raiders W 110 - 58
2010-11-22 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 82 - 77
2010-11-23 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 82 - 68
2010-11-27 @ Oregon Ducks W 98 - 71
2010-12-01 vs Michigan State Spartans W 84 - 79
2010-12-04 vs Butler Bulldogs W 82 - 70
2010-12-08 vs Bradley Braves W 83 - 48
2010-12-11 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 84 - 47
2010-12-20 vs Elon Phoenix W 98 - 72
2010-12-29 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 108 - 62
2011-01-02 vs Miami Hurricanes W 74 - 63
2011-01-05 vs UAB Blazers W 85 - 64
2011-01-09 vs Maryland Terrapins W 71 - 64
2011-01-12 @ Florida State Seminoles L 61 - 66
2011-01-15 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 76 - 60
2011-01-19 @ NC State Wolfpack W 92 - 78
2011-01-22 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 83 - 59
2011-01-27 vs Boston College Eagles W 84 - 68
2011-01-30 @ St. John's Red Storm L 78 - 93
2011-02-02 @ Maryland Terrapins W 80 - 62
2011-02-05 vs NC State Wolfpack W 76 - 52
2011-02-09 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 79 - 73
2011-02-13 @ Miami Hurricanes W 81 - 71
2011-02-16 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 56 - 41
2011-02-20 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 79 - 57
2011-02-23 vs Temple Owls W 78 - 61
2011-02-26 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 60 - 64
2011-03-02 vs Clemson Tigers W 70 - 59
2011-03-05 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 67 - 81
2011-03-11 vs Maryland Terrapins W 87 - 71
2011-03-12 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 77 - 63
2011-03-13 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 75 - 58
2011-03-18 vs Hampton Pirates W 87 - 45
2011-03-20 vs Michigan Wolverines W 73 - 71
2011-03-24 vs Arizona Wildcats L 77 - 93

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nolan Smith Nolan Smith G 37 34.0 20.6 4.5 5.1 1.2 0.1 3.2 15.4 13.0 384 30 12.8 16.3 45.8 35.0 81.3 1.33 57.1 50.8
Kyrie Irving Kyrie Irving G 11 27.5 17.5 3.4 4.3 1.5 0.5 2.5 9.5 15.2 75 9 8.3 14.2 52.9 46.2 90.1 0.28 71.0 61.5
Kyle Singler Kyle Singler F 37 34.8 16.9 6.8 1.6 0.9 0.3 1.9 13.8 10.9 419 30 14.0 17.6 43.0 32.1 80.6 5.9 54.1 49.1
Seth Curry Seth Curry G 37 25.0 9.0 1.8 2.0 1.4 0.1 0.9 6.5 6.9 322 30 10.7 19.1 42.3 43.5 78.8 3.05 60.2 55.6
Andre Dawkins Andre Dawkins G 37 21.0 8.1 1.9 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.8 5.6 4.8 227 30 7.6 15.9 48.1 42.7 79.1 1.64 65.7 63.5
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee F 37 25.6 7.2 8.4 1.6 0.9 1.7 1.9 5.1 12.6 268 30 8.9 15.0 59.3 0.0 44.1 1.33 57.6 59.3
Ryan Kelly Ryan Kelly F 37 20.1 6.6 3.7 0.8 0.7 1.4 0.8 5.0 7.5 228 30 7.6 16.1 51.6 31.9 80.5 2.37 60.6 57.6
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee F 37 17.0 4.8 4.9 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.9 3.8 6.4 244 30 8.1 21.8 51.8 0 59.3 3.46 54.1 51.8
Tyler Thornton Tyler Thornton G 34 9.9 1.6 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.6 0.9 2.3 100 28 3.6 15.1 44.8 26.7 83.9 0.78 65.7 51.7
Josh Hairston Josh Hairston F 27 6.1 1.4 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.3 31 23 1.3 9.5 36.1 0 56.5 -3.1 42.3 36.1
Casey Peters Casey Peters G 10 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 -6 5 -1.2 -41.7 0 0 0 -2.42 0 0
Todd Zafirovski Todd Zafirovski F 5 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.26 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG