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Duke

Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History

2006 Team Stats (33 games)

82.5
PPG
69.0
Opp
+13.5
Margin
49.4%
FG%
39.6%
3P%
76.1%
FT%
32.9
RPG
15.4
APG
13.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
82.4
Adj PPG
62.7
Adj Opp PPG
#1
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1414 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1424 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 1182 (#10) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +20.9 (#1) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +16.0 (#10) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.882 (#7) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +30.5 More โ†’ 0.972 (#2) AdjNet +30.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +30.8 More โ†’ 0.972 (#2) AdjNet +30.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 62.7 More โ†’ 0.858 (#1) AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 62.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 65.7 More โ†’ 0.744 (#9) AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.900 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.886 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 36 More โ†’ 1417 (#2) RD 101 | GP 36

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-14 vs Boston University Terriers W 64 - 47
2005-11-16 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 93 - 40
2005-11-19 vs Davidson Wildcats W 84 - 55
2005-11-23 vs Drexel Dragons W 78 - 68
2005-11-25 vs Memphis Tigers W 70 - 67
2005-11-30 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 75 - 67
2005-12-04 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 77 - 75
2005-12-07 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 72 - 59
2005-12-10 @ Texas Longhorns W 97 - 66
2005-12-18 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 104 - 77
2005-12-21 vs St. John's Red Storm W 70 - 57
2005-12-31 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 102 - 69
2006-01-02 vs Bucknell Bison W 84 - 50
2006-01-08 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 82 - 64
2006-01-11 vs Maryland Terrapins W 76 - 52
2006-01-14 @ Clemson Tigers W 87 - 77
2006-01-18 vs NC State Wolfpack W 81 - 68
2006-01-21 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 84 - 87
2006-01-26 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 80 - 67
2006-01-28 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 82 - 63
2006-02-01 @ Boston College Eagles W 83 - 81
2006-02-04 vs Florida State Seminoles W 97 - 96
2006-02-07 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 87 - 83
2006-02-11 @ Maryland Terrapins W 96 - 88
2006-02-14 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 93 - 70
2006-02-19 vs Miami Hurricanes W 92 - 71
2006-02-22 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 73 - 66
2006-02-25 @ Temple Owls W 74 - 66
2006-03-01 @ Florida State Seminoles L 74 - 79
2006-03-04 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 76 - 83
2006-03-10 vs Miami Hurricanes W 80 - 76
2006-03-11 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 78 - 66
2006-03-12 vs Boston College Eagles W 78 - 76
2006-03-16 vs Southern Jaguars W 70 - 54
2006-03-18 vs George Washington Colonials W 74 - 61
2006-03-23 vs LSU Tigers L 54 - 62

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.