Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.5 | ✗ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -8 (54-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell * | 40 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| G. Temple * | 40 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Mitchell * | 38 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| G. Davis * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| T. Thomas * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 21 | - |
| D. Lazare | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Rolle | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Voogd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Williams * | 39 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 18 | - |
| J. Redick * | 39 | 3-18 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -5 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 36 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Nelson | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter