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2006-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 92.4% 7.6% -
Bradley-Terry 62.5% 37.5% -
Margin 62.1% 37.9% -2.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% -
Efficiency 90.9% 9.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.0% 22.0% -
Log Adjusted 77.9% 22.1% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Redick * 39 10-28 4-14 6-6 2 4 0 0 4 30 4 -
D. Nelson * 36 4-10 2-5 0-3 4 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
S. Williams * 32 8-13 0-0 4-7 16 1 2 4 6 20 24 -
G. Paulus * 28 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 4 2 -
J. McRoberts * 26 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 3 1 2 12 -
S. Dockery 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
L. Melchionni 15 2-3 2-2 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
E. Boateng 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Boykin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Pocius 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Davidson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thornton * 36 5-15 1-2 15-16 6 1 1 1 5 26 15 -
T. Galloway * 33 3-9 2-5 3-4 4 1 1 0 1 11 7 -
A. Wilson * 28 2-3 1-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
J. Rich * 22 0-5 0-0 3-4 9 0 1 0 2 3 6 -
D. Romero * 15 2-4 1-2 0-1 4 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
C. Webb 26 6-16 0-1 10-13 13 1 0 1 1 22 20 -
I. Swann 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
J. Allen 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Mims 9 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 1 -
U. Echefu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter