Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.1% | 37.9% | -2.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 39 | 10-28 | 4-14 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 4 | - |
| D. Nelson * | 36 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| S. Williams * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 24 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - |
| S. Dockery | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. Boateng | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Boykin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Pocius | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Davidson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thornton * | 36 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 15-16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 15 | - |
| T. Galloway * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A. Wilson * | 28 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Rich * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Romero * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Webb | 26 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| I. Swann | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Allen | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Mims | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| U. Echefu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter