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2006-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 3.9% 96.1% -
Bradley-Terry 25.2% 74.8% -
Margin 15.9% 84.1% +9.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% -
Efficiency 3.1% 96.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% -
Log Adjusted 16.1% 83.9% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +1 (97-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thornton * 42 17-32 0-1 3-3 15 5 3 1 1 37 28 -
J. Rich * 39 10-18 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 3 20 5 -
T. Galloway * 25 3-5 1-2 1-1 2 2 1 0 5 8 3 -
I. Swann * 20 1-9 0-3 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 2 0 -
C. Webb * 14 6-9 0-0 1-1 11 0 0 0 2 13 13 -
D. Romero 31 3-5 1-2 0-1 4 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
R. Mims 20 2-5 0-0 5-5 2 4 1 0 2 9 9 -
J. Allen 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 0 3 -
A. Wilson 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
U. Echefu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Breeden 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Redick * 43 12-25 3-10 9-10 6 6 1 0 7 36 17 -
S. Williams * 37 8-14 0-0 11-16 13 0 4 4 2 27 32 -
S. Dockery * 35 2-4 2-3 1-2 1 3 1 1 0 7 9 -
G. Paulus * 34 0-6 0-2 3-4 3 7 2 0 1 3 8 -
J. McRoberts * 25 1-1 0-0 5-6 1 2 0 2 1 7 10 -
D. Nelson 27 6-10 3-4 0-2 6 1 1 0 6 15 7 -
L. Melchionni 21 0-4 0-3 2-3 4 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
P. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Pocius 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Boykin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter