Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +1 (97-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thornton * | 42 | 17-32 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 28 | - |
| J. Rich * | 39 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 5 | - |
| T. Galloway * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| I. Swann * | 20 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Webb * | 14 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| D. Romero | 31 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R. Mims | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Allen | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Wilson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| U. Echefu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Breeden | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 43 | 12-25 | 3-10 | 9-10 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 17 | - |
| S. Williams * | 37 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 11-16 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 32 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 35 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 34 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. Nelson | 27 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 7 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Pocius | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Boykin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter