Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.7% | 86.3% | +10.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +19 (82-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 4 | - |
| A. Joseph * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 8 | - |
| J. Cain * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Soroye * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Bannister | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Diane | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Campbell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Williams * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 27 | - |
| J. Redick * | 34 | 11-13 | 8-10 | 10-11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 30 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Nelson | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Pocius | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Boykin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Boateng | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Davidson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter