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2006-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 42.7% 57.3% -
Bradley-Terry 75.4% 24.6% -
Margin 81.1% 18.9% -8.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 58.2% 41.8% -
Efficiency 89.6% 10.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% -
Log Adjusted 86.5% 13.5% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers -10 (77-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Redick * 40 10-16 2-5 12-16 1 3 2 0 2 34 22 -
G. Paulus * 38 3-7 0-0 4-4 4 8 2 0 3 10 14 -
S. Williams * 35 6-12 0-1 5-6 11 0 1 3 1 17 19 -
S. Dockery * 34 4-6 1-1 1-2 2 1 4 0 2 10 9 -
J. McRoberts * 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 2 0 4 5 -
L. Melchionni 31 2-3 1-2 5-6 6 1 0 0 1 10 13 -
M. Pocius 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Boykin 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hammonds * 39 5-12 0-3 0-0 6 2 3 0 0 10 9 -
V. Hamilton * 34 14-19 1-2 2-6 3 0 3 0 3 31 15 -
A. Akingbala * 30 4-9 0-0 1-5 8 1 0 2 2 9 9 -
S. Perry * 23 2-5 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
J. Powell * 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
S. Robinson 30 6-11 3-6 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 17 5 -
K.C. Rivers 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 3 6 -
S. Allen 9 1-1 0-0 1-6 2 0 0 2 0 3 6 -
R. Sykes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter