Model Predictions
| Model | George Washington Colonials | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | +13.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Washington Colonials
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Williams * | 36 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| C. Elliott * | 35 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| M. Hall * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| P. Mensah-Bonsu * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Pinnock | 33 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Rice | 28 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| R. Koundjia | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Diggs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Wilmore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Toney | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Paulus * | 38 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 11 | - |
| S. Williams * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 26 | - |
| J. Redick * | 36 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 35 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 25 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Nelson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 12 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter