Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Tech Hokies | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Green * | 40 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| D. Washington * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Sailes * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Harris * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Diakite * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Gordon | 33 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Z. Dowdell | 31 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| C. Tucker | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Witherspoon | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A.D. Vassallo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Williams * | 38 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 38 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 36 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| J. Redick * | 34 | 6-19 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | -2 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Pocius | 8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| E. Boateng | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Boykin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter