Model Predictions
| Model | Boston College Eagles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.8 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +2 (78-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Smith * | 40 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| J. Dudley * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| L. Hinnant * | 36 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 2-6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| S. Marshall * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Oates * | 14 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Williams | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T. Rice | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. McLain | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Haynes | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 38 | 8-17 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | - |
| S. Williams * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 32 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Nelson * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| G. Paulus | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Boateng | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter