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2006-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 19.9% 80.1% -
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 32.6% 67.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% -
Log Adjusted 12.2% 87.8% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +21 (92-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Diaz * 36 9-14 0-3 5-6 2 3 1 0 0 23 15 -
R. Hite * 34 4-12 1-4 1-2 4 2 4 0 1 10 7 -
A. Harris * 27 4-15 0-2 1-2 4 5 1 0 4 9 0 -
G. Hamilton * 21 3-5 0-0 1-2 7 1 3 1 3 7 11 -
A. King * 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 1 1 6 10 -
R. Hicks 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
D. Clemente 20 5-14 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 10 -4 -
J. Graham 13 0-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 1 3 -
A. Thomas 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
B. Asbury 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Redick * 37 10-15 6-9 4-4 0 1 3 0 2 30 17 -
S. Williams * 36 4-9 0-0 9-10 15 2 1 1 2 17 25 -
G. Paulus * 28 1-6 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 5 3 -4 -
J. McRoberts * 27 2-3 1-1 9-11 7 3 2 1 4 14 20 -
S. Dockery * 27 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 5 1 1 0 7 11 -
D. Nelson 25 3-6 3-5 4-4 1 2 0 0 3 13 7 -
L. Melchionni 15 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
P. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Boateng 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Pocius 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Davidson 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Boykin 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter