Model Predictions
| Model | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Strickland * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| E. Williams * | 37 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 25 | - |
| J. Gray * | 34 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| K. Visser * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| H. Hale * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Drum | 37 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Ellis | 33 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Dukes | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Stanley | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 36 | 6-17 | 3-12 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 4 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 35 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Williams * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| L. Melchionni * | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| G. Paulus | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| D. Nelson | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Boykin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Davidson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter