Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Boston College Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.8% | 11.2% | -11.4 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston College Eagles -2 (81-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 40 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 17 | - |
| S. Williams * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 13-16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 26 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 31 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Nelson | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dudley * | 40 | 10-14 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 19 | - |
| C. Smith * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| L. Hinnant * | 31 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Marshall * | 26 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Oates * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Rice | 22 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. McLain | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| M. Haynes | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Williams | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter