Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Boston College Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | -0.9 | ✗ (1.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.1% | 32.9% | -3.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston College Eagles -2 (81-83). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Redick * | 40 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 17 | - |
| S. Williams * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 13-16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 26 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 31 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| DeMarcus Nelson | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Dudley * | 40 | 10-14 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 19 | - |
| C. Smith * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| L. Hinnant * | 31 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Sean Marshall * | 26 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Oates * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tyrese Rice | 22 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Akida McLain | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Marquez Haynes | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Sean Williams | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter