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2006-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Spread Result
Elo 91.8% 8.2% -
Bradley-Terry 77.3% 22.7% -
Margin 80.3% 19.7% -7.7 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 63.2% 36.8% -
Efficiency 91.6% 8.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.3% 12.7% -
Log Adjusted 87.3% 12.7% -

Actual: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Redick * 40 5-21 1-6 11-12 2 4 3 0 1 22 9 -
S. Williams * 32 11-17 0-0 4-5 11 0 2 0 2 26 20 -
J. McRoberts * 30 5-7 0-1 0-2 5 1 4 0 1 10 12 -
G. Paulus * 30 0-2 0-1 0-2 2 8 0 0 1 0 7 -
S. Dockery * 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Nelson 31 4-8 1-3 1-4 4 1 2 1 4 10 6 -
L. Melchionni 17 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
P. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Dickey * 35 7-11 0-0 0-1 6 1 1 0 1 14 10 -
J. Smith * 31 8-14 0-0 2-2 12 1 0 2 3 18 16 -
L. Clinch * 31 3-10 1-2 2-2 5 4 2 0 1 9 9 -
M. West * 21 4-6 0-0 0-1 2 3 2 1 2 8 8 -
A. Morrow * 17 1-3 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 3 4 2 -
Z. Fredrick 32 6-12 0-0 1-2 1 9 1 0 9 13 3 -
D. Bell 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Tarver 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
A. Aminu 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Diaw 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter