Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bennerman * | 35 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| C. Simmons * | 34 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 29 | - |
| E. Atsur * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| I. Evtimov * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Bethel * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| G. Grant | 25 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A. Brackman | 15 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 40 | 7-15 | 4-11 | 10-10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 21 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 37 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 32 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| S. Williams * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 26 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 33 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. McRoberts | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Pocius | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Boykin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter