Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.1% | 13.9% | -10.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -18 (64-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 38 | 12-21 | 5-13 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 15 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 37 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 36 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| S. Williams * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 29 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| D. Nelson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Pocius | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Boykin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Davidson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Williams * | 36 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| J. Gray * | 33 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 5 | - |
| T. Strickland * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Dukes * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Visser * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| H. Hale | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Ellis | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Drum | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Stanley | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Swinton | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
* = starter