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2006-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 83.0% 17.0% -
Bradley-Terry 79.7% 20.3% -
Margin 86.1% 13.9% -10.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 62.8% 37.2% -
Efficiency 86.9% 13.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.0% 14.0% -
Log Adjusted 86.1% 13.9% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -18 (64-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Redick * 38 12-21 5-13 3-4 2 3 2 0 3 32 15 -
G. Paulus * 37 3-5 1-2 3-4 4 3 3 0 6 10 9 -
S. Dockery * 36 3-6 2-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 8 10 -
J. McRoberts * 25 1-3 1-1 0-0 5 3 2 1 2 3 9 -
S. Williams * 17 2-3 0-0 6-6 4 0 2 1 1 10 13 -
L. Melchionni 29 6-10 5-8 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 17 14 -
D. Nelson 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
M. Pocius 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Boykin 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Davidson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Williams * 36 6-9 0-0 5-8 8 0 0 1 1 17 16 -
J. Gray * 33 7-16 1-6 2-2 2 4 2 0 4 17 5 -
T. Strickland * 24 3-10 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 8 1 -
J. Dukes * 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 2 -1 -
K. Visser * 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 0 0 5 -
H. Hale 26 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 4 7 2 -
C. Ellis 24 1-2 0-1 3-4 6 1 0 0 1 5 9 -
M. Drum 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 1 -
C. Stanley 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
K. Swinton 8 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -

* = starter