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2006-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 19.9% 80.1% -
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 32.6% 67.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% -
Log Adjusted 12.2% 87.8% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hite * 35 6-15 3-6 0-0 8 0 0 0 4 15 4 -
G. Diaz * 35 6-19 2-6 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 16 1 -
A. King * 25 3-8 0-0 10-12 11 0 0 2 1 16 20 -
D. Clemente * 24 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 3 5 5 -
G. Hamilton * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
R. Hicks 32 4-7 0-0 4-7 6 3 0 1 2 12 13 -
A. Harris 21 3-5 0-1 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 6 8 -
J. Graham 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 4 9 -
B. Asbury 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Redick * 40 9-17 5-11 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 25 11 -
S. Williams * 38 4-9 0-0 6-10 13 1 1 5 1 14 24 -
G. Paulus * 32 2-7 2-5 2-2 2 5 3 0 0 8 11 -
D. Nelson * 29 5-11 4-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 14 3 -
L. Melchionni * 12 0-4 0-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
J. McRoberts 27 3-8 0-1 4-5 7 1 0 2 3 10 9 -
S. Dockery 19 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 5 5 -
J. Boykin 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
E. Boateng 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter