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Southern Jaguars 54
@
Duke Blue Devils 70
2006-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Southern Jaguars Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 7.4% 92.6% +21.0 ✓ (5.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 7.3% 92.7% - ✓
Margin 0.6% 99.4% +27.7 ✓ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 8.8% 91.2% - ✓

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +16 (70-54). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Cipriano * 35 5-8 0-0 2-2 10 1 1 2 3 12 15 -
C. Alexander * 35 8-19 2-5 1-2 1 0 3 0 0 19 4 -
J. Campbell * 26 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 1 3 4 5 -
S. Wiley * 24 0-6 0-0 0-2 2 2 2 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Riley-Smith 35 4-12 2-6 3-4 3 2 4 0 3 13 7 -
R. Hishaw 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
B. Wardlow 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Mott 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 2 2 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Williams * 36 12-17 0-0 5-8 18 0 1 4 4 29 31 -
JJ Redick * 35 10-20 5-10 4-4 2 4 1 0 4 29 12 -
G. Paulus * 32 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 8 4 0 7 2 4 -
Josh McRoberts * 28 2-3 0-1 4-4 4 0 1 4 0 8 14 -
S. Dockery * 27 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
DeMarcus Nelson 22 0-3 0-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 4 2 2 -
L. Melchionni 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Boateng 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Boykin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Martynas Pocius 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter