Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.2% | 14.8% | -9.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -13 (67-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dockery * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Redick * | 36 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 8-9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 10 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. McRoberts * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| S. Williams * | 29 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 22 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Nelson | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Boykin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Dowdell * | 37 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| J. Gordon * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Green * | 33 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Washington * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| W. Witherspoon * | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Sailes | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Tucker | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. Diakite | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A.D. Vassallo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter