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2006-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 9.3% 90.7% -
Bradley-Terry 12.5% 87.5% -
Margin 4.8% 95.2% +16.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 31.2% 68.8% -
Efficiency 7.1% 92.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.0% 92.0% -
Log Adjusted 7.9% 92.1% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +23 (93-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Williams * 34 7-14 0-0 3-6 13 0 2 2 2 17 18 -
J. Gray * 33 7-22 2-5 2-2 7 3 3 0 1 18 8 -
T. Strickland * 27 4-8 0-0 2-3 1 2 0 0 1 10 4 -
H. Hale * 19 3-8 1-1 3-4 2 1 1 0 3 10 3 -
K. Swinton 23 3-6 0-0 0-1 8 1 1 0 2 6 8 -
C. Stanley 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
M. Drum 14 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Dukes 13 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 2 1 0 5 1 -3 -
K. Visser 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 2 1 -
C. Ellis 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Redick * 35 11-18 4-9 7-7 1 4 4 0 4 33 20 -
S. Dockery * 35 4-6 1-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 9 10 -
S. Williams * 34 7-12 0-1 2-3 7 1 0 3 4 16 11 -
G. Paulus * 32 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 5 2 0 1 4 4 -
J. McRoberts * 20 5-5 1-1 5-5 3 4 2 2 2 16 20 -
D. Nelson 22 5-9 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 10 9 -
L. Melchionni 15 1-4 0-2 3-3 4 1 1 0 0 5 7 -
J. Boykin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
P. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Pocius 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter