Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.5% | 99.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.9% | 99.1% | +26.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +29 (84-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Winters | 34 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | - |
| I. Johnson | 33 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| T. Sander | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. McKillop | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Richards | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Grant | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Meno | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Morton | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| E. Blancett | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Lovedale | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Paulhus Gosselin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Clunie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick | 36 | 10-18 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 11 | - |
| S. Williams | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 26 | - |
| S. Dockery | 32 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 27 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| D. Nelson | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. McRoberts | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| G. Paulus | 19 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Pocius | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Boateng | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter