Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | +18.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.1% | 97.9% | +21.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +29 (84-55). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Winters | 34 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | - |
| I. Johnson | 33 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Thomas Sander | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. McKillop | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Jason Richards | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Grant | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Boris Meno | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jason Morton | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Eric Blancett | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Lovedale | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Max Paulhus Gosselin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Clunie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Redick | 36 | 10-18 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 11 | - |
| S. Williams | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Sean Dockery | 32 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Lee Melchionni | 27 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| DeMarcus Nelson | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Greg Paulus | 19 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Martynas Pocius | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eric Boateng | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter