Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | +3.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +3 (70-67). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Anderson * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Carney * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Darius Washington Jr. * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Shawne Williams * | 23 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Joey Dorsey * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Robert Dozier | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Chris Douglas-Roberts | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Simplice Njoya | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Cooper | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Allen | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Williams * | 39 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 29 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 38 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 36 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Martynas Pocius | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter