VCU
2026 Team Stats (36 games)
80.8
PPG
71.8
Opp
+9.1
Margin
45.7%
FG%
36.3%
3P%
73.6%
FT%
36.5
RPG
13.9
APG
10.5
TO
68.7
Est. poss./game
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1394 (#6) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1352 (#11) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1221 (#5) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.2 (#48) | - |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +13.2 (#43) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.849 (#28) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.758 (#48) | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.688 (#35) | - |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1328 (#14) | - |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Terrence Hill Jr.
|
G | 36 | 25.1 | 15.0 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 10.2 | 9.8 | - | - | - | - | 46.6 | 37.0 | 84.4 | - | 62.9 | 57.6 |
Lazar Djokovic
|
- | 35 | 27.6 | 13.2 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 7.8 | 11.9 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 34.3 | 78.3 | - | 63.0 | 54.2 |
Jadrian Tracey
|
- | 36 | 21.9 | 9.6 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 8.0 | 5.5 | - | - | - | - | 41.1 | 36.0 | 68.7 | - | 54.3 | 51.9 |
Nyk Lewis
|
- | 35 | 23.7 | 8.7 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.2 | 8.7 | 193 | 33 | 5.8 | 10.2 | 40.8 | 36.2 | 74.8 | 2.31 | 57.3 | 51.4 |
Brandon Jennings
|
G | 36 | 24.9 | 8.5 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 6.0 | 9.4 | - | - | - | - | 43.5 | 43.1 | 85.5 | - | 58.1 | 49.3 |
Michael Belle
|
F | 36 | 22.4 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5.4 | 8.4 | - | - | - | - | 54.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 59.0 | 59.3 |
Barry Evans
|
F | 36 | 26.6 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 7.9 | - | - | - | - | 44.8 | 31.7 | 52.8 | - | 50.8 | 50.2 |
Tyrell Ward
|
- | 31 | 13.7 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 3.9 | - | - | - | - | 45.2 | 30.6 | 63.8 | - | 55.4 | 52.2 |
Ahmad Nowell
|
- | 28 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 3.4 | - | - | - | - | 44.7 | 41.4 | 75.0 | - | 63.0 | 58.8 |
Jordan Tillery
|
- | 12 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 3.8 | - | - | - | - | 59.4 | 57.1 | 62.5 | - | 66.6 | 65.6 |
Keyshawn Mitchell
|
F | 20 | 10.6 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 40.4 | 20.8 | 65.6 | - | 52.4 | 45.7 |
Jordann Dumont
|
- | 9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 40.5 | 33.3 |
Christian Fermin
|
F | 4 | 12.8 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 5.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 30.0 | -1.23 | 27.8 | 0.0 |
Obinnaya Okafor
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former VCU players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2025-2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last VCU game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hyland | 2019-21 | NBA | Minnesota Timberwolves | 1 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| M. Shulga | 2023-25 | G League | Maine Celtics | 24 | 33.2 | 15.7 | 4.2 | 6.7 |
| Jayden Nunn | 2021-23 | G League | Austin Spurs | 33 | 26.4 | 13.4 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| Jamir Watkins | 2020-23 | G League | Capital City Go-Go | 4 | 29.1 | 13.2 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
| Jack Clark | 2024-25 | G League | Santa Cruz Warriors | 34 | 28.2 | 10.5 | 6.3 | 2.3 |
| Hason Ward | 2019-22 | G League | Maine Celtics | 31 | 22.2 | 9.9 | 6.6 | 1.6 |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | B. Hyland | NBA | Minnesota Timberwolves | @ Miami Heat | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-14 | B. Hyland | NBA Preseason | Minnesota Timberwolves | vs Detroit Pistons | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-10-12 | B. Hyland | NBA Preseason | Minnesota Timberwolves | @ New York Knicks | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-03-31 | M. Shulga | G League Playoffs | Maine Celtics | @ Greensboro Swarm | 31 | 5 | 3 | 8 | Box |
| 2026-03-31 | Jayden Nunn | G League Playoffs | Austin Spurs | @ Rio Grande Valley Vipers | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-03-31 | Hason Ward | G League Playoffs | Maine Celtics | @ Greensboro Swarm | 20 | 9 | 8 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-03-28 | Jayden Nunn | G League | Austin Spurs | vs Mexico City Capitanes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-03-28 | Jack Clark | G League | Santa Cruz Warriors | vs Texas Legends | 32 | 18 | 7 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-03-27 | Jayden Nunn | G League | Austin Spurs | vs Rip City Remix | 19 | 11 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-03-27 | Jack Clark | G League | Santa Cruz Warriors | vs Texas Legends | 36 | 13 | 9 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-03-24 | M. Shulga | G League | Maine Celtics | vs Cleveland Charge | 21 | 12 | 1 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-03-24 | Jack Clark | G League | Santa Cruz Warriors | @ Salt Lake City Stars | 28 | 10 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-03-24 | Hason Ward | G League | Maine Celtics | vs Cleveland Charge | 16 | 10 | 9 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-03-22 | M. Shulga | G League | Maine Celtics | vs Cleveland Charge | 29 | 12 | 5 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-03-22 | Hason Ward | G League | Maine Celtics | vs Cleveland Charge | 19 | 10 | 7 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-02-04 | Jamir Watkins | G League | Capital City Go-Go | vs South Bay Lakers | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-01-14 | Jamir Watkins | G League | Capital City Go-Go | vs Long Island Nets | 27 | 9 | 7 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-01-09 | Jamir Watkins | G League | Capital City Go-Go | vs Motor City Cruise | 37 | 22 | 11 | 3 | Box |
2025-2026 Shot Zones
2106 located field-goal attempts in 36 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Terrence Hill Jr.Lazar DjokovicJadrian TraceyNyk LewisBrandon Jennings
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 405-665 | 60.9 | 810 | Lazar Djokovic 18% (146 pts) | Barry Evans 14% (116 pts) | Brandon Jennings 16% (42 misses) | Lazar Djokovic 15% (40 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 175-418 | 41.9 | 350 | Lazar Djokovic 21% (74 pts) | Brandon Jennings 17% (60 pts) | Lazar Djokovic 19% (47 misses) | Brandon Jennings 16% (39 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 28-49 | 57.1 | 56 | Nyk Lewis 25% (14 pts) | Jadrian Tracey 18% (10 pts) | Nyk Lewis 33% (7 misses) | Jadrian Tracey 19% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 12-21 | 57.1 | 24 | Terrence Hill Jr. 42% (10 pts) | Jadrian Tracey 25% (6 pts) | Nyk Lewis 44% (4 misses) | Terrence Hill Jr. 22% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 32-53 | 60.4 | 64 | Terrence Hill Jr. 44% (28 pts) | Nyk Lewis 19% (12 pts) | Terrence Hill Jr. 33% (7 misses) | Brandon Jennings 19% (4 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 24-82 | 29.3 | 72 | Nyk Lewis 21% (15 pts) | Barry Evans 17% (12 pts) | Nyk Lewis 17% (10 misses) | Jadrian Tracey 14% (8 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 40-105 | 38.1 | 120 | Nyk Lewis 18% (21 pts) | Barry Evans 15% (18 pts) | Nyk Lewis 25% (16 misses) | Terrence Hill Jr. 17% (11 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 97-295 | 32.9 | 291 | Jadrian Tracey 27% (78 pts) | Terrence Hill Jr. 21% (60 pts) | Terrence Hill Jr. 25% (50 misses) | Jadrian Tracey 20% (39 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 57-153 | 37.3 | 171 | Terrence Hill Jr. 39% (66 pts) | Jadrian Tracey 19% (33 pts) | Terrence Hill Jr. 32% (31 misses) | Jadrian Tracey 22% (21 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 92-265 | 34.7 | 276 | Terrence Hill Jr. 27% (75 pts) | Barry Evans 13% (36 pts) | Terrence Hill Jr. 25% (43 misses) | Barry Evans 21% (36 misses) |