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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model VCU Rams George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 81.0% 19.0% -
Bradley-Terry 59.7% 40.3% -
Margin 70.6% 29.4% -4.8 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 65.8% 34.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.5% 26.5% -
Log Adjusted 73.7% 26.3% -
Points Off/Def 58.5% 41.5% -

Actual: George Mason Patriots +6 (86-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Evans 33 1-6 0-3 1-4 2 0 2 1 3 3 -1 -8.5
T. Hill Jr. 33 5-13 2-8 4-4 6 4 0 0 1 16 12 -13.6
L. Djokovic 31 7-9 0-1 9-9 5 3 0 1 0 23 23 -3.1
M. Belle 28 5-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 11 9 -7.9
B. Jennings 26 4-8 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 11 3 +0.3
N. Lewis 23 3-9 2-6 2-4 8 1 2 0 0 10 12 -2.6
J. Tracey 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.2
K. Mitchell 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -6.6
A. Nowell 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 3 2 -8.0

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Mincy 38 5-9 2-4 3-4 3 5 0 0 0 15 14 +13.1
J. Long 33 5-10 0-2 4-4 2 5 1 0 1 14 11 +12.4
M. Troutman 30 5-9 1-4 2-3 4 2 1 0 1 13 10 +8.5
F. Hill 25 3-7 0-1 10-10 5 2 0 0 1 16 15 +14.8
R. Allenspach 22 7-8 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 16 11 +8.8
S. Sivka 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +5.9
E. Kanga 14 3-4 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 0 6 8 -0.1
M. Presley 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 2 0 -1.1
N. Ellington 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 +2.5
D. Adebayo 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2.4

* = starter