Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.0% | 33.0% | -3.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +6 (86-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Evans | 33 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | -15.8 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 33 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | -9.6 |
| Lazar Djokovic | 31 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 23 | +1.0 |
| Michael Belle | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -13.7 |
| Brandon Jennings | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +2.1 |
| Nyk Lewis | 23 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | -3.2 |
| Jadrian Tracey | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.6 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -7.8 |
| Ahmad Nowell | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -8.8 |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kory Mincy | 38 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | +20.2 |
| Jahari Long | 33 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +13.2 |
| Masai Troutman | 30 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +9.4 |
| Fatt Hill | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | +11.9 |
| Riley Allenspach | 22 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +10.3 |
| Stas Sivka | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +7.7 |
| Emmanuel Kanga | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Malik Presley | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Nick Ellington | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +3.4 |
| Dola Adebayo | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.4 |
* = starter