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2026-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Saint Joseph's Hawks VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% -
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% -
Efficiency 4.1% 95.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.9% 89.1% -
Log Adjusted 10.7% 89.3% -
Points Off/Def 23.7% 76.3% -

Actual: VCU Rams +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Glover-Toscano 35 6-13 2-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 14 6 -
A. Williford 34 6-16 5-10 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 17 7 -
J. Ajogbor 33 5-8 0-0 1-1 5 0 1 2 0 11 11 -
D. Simpson 32 3-10 1-5 0-0 4 8 0 0 3 7 6 -
A. Finkley 22 1-3 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 3 8 -
D. Haskins 20 2-10 0-1 1-2 9 0 1 0 2 5 3 -
K. Myers 16 3-7 1-2 0-2 2 4 1 0 1 7 6 -
J. Smith 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Djokovic 31 5-12 0-3 3-4 3 1 1 1 2 13 5 -
B. Jennings 28 2-6 1-1 2-2 6 4 1 1 1 7 12 -
N. Lewis 24 2-5 1-3 3-4 8 2 1 0 2 8 12 -
M. Belle 24 2-8 0-2 0-0 6 3 2 0 0 4 7 -
B. Evans 24 1-6 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 3 4 -
T. Hill Jr. 23 8-10 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 18 11 -
J. Tracey 20 6-11 3-7 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 15 9 -
A. Nowell 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
T. Ward 10 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
K. Mitchell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Tillery 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Dumont 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter