Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +13 (88-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Jennings | 35 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| L. Djokovic | 32 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 13 | - |
| B. Evans | 31 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Hill Jr. | 25 | 1-11 | 0-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| N. Lewis | 25 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Belle | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Ward | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Tracey | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Jones | 28 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| R. Avila | 28 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| I. Sharma | 25 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. McCottry | 25 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Brown | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Green | 21 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| P. Otieno | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| K. Thames | 17 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| B. Dunlap | 16 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter