Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Peter's Peacocks | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.1% | 97.9% | +21.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +17 (78-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Peter's Peacocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Bland * | 32 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 16 | -4.2 |
| Jahki Gupton * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +5.1 |
| J'Quan Ewing * | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | -18.1 |
| TJ Robinson * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -11.2 |
| Shaedon Simpson * | 13 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | -5.1 |
| Bryce Eaton | 23 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -5.2 |
| Adetokunbo Bakare | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Zaakir Williamson | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -8.3 |
| Eric Morgan Jr. | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Lucas Scroggins | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +3.4 |
| Bol Agu | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazar Djokovic * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 15 | +19.0 |
| Jadrian Tracey * | 30 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | +2.6 |
| Barry Evans * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 13 | +8.1 |
| Nyk Lewis * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | +5.6 |
| Brandon Jennings * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +7.2 |
| Tyrell Ward | 23 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +15.0 |
| Ahmad Nowell | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +5.8 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 15 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | -2.9 |
| Christian Fermin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Michael Belle | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -3.8 |
* = starter