Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.1% | 20.9% | -7.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes -13 (80-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Jennings | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -0.4 |
| N. Lewis | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | -9.3 |
| L. Djokovic | 27 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 23 | -5.0 |
| B. Evans | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +1.1 |
| T. Hill Jr. | 22 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | +17.0 |
| M. Belle | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +9.4 |
| J. Tracey | 20 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | -3.9 |
| K. Mitchell | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +10.0 |
| A. Nowell | 12 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +4.1 |
| J. Tillery | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Guinyard | 37 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +3.1 |
| J. Necas | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +7.2 |
| D. Dixon | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 | +7.4 |
| C. Crawford | 25 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.4 |
| J. DiMichele | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2.8 |
| M. Edwards | 19 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -19.5 |
| J. Williams | 17 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +0.9 |
| A. Williams | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -16.9 |
| L. Milosevic | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4.7 |
* = starter