Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bennett | 39 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| K. Jones | 32 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| D. Montgomery | 31 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Derkack | 28 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 1-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. L'Etang | 27 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Simon | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Heard | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Conner | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Evans | 34 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| N. Lewis | 33 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| T. Hill Jr. | 33 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| M. Belle | 28 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Tracey | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Ward | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| B. Jennings | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Djokovic | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
* = starter