Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -4 (78-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hill Jr. | 40 | 13-23 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 18 | - |
| L. Djokovic | 38 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| B. Jennings | 34 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| N. Lewis | 31 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| M. Belle | 31 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Evans | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Tracey | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Ward | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Trimble | 43 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| H. Veesaar | 42 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 5-9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 20 | - |
| D. Dixon | 41 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| L. Bogavac | 32 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Stevenson | 31 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Powell | 20 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Z. High | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Young | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyan. Evans | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter