Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Williams | 38 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Guinyard | 37 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Williams | 32 | 8-15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| B. Hall | 31 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| D. Dixon | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| J. Necas | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. DiMichele | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Edwards | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Hugley IV | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Crawford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Evans | 34 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| L. Djokovic | 32 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| T. Hill Jr. | 30 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| M. Belle | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| N. Lewis | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| B. Jennings | 26 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | - |
| J. Tracey | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Ward | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter