Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | -1.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -6 (62-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Evans | 36 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| L. Djokovic | 34 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| N. Lewis | 30 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Hill Jr. | 24 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| B. Jennings | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| M. Belle | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Tracey | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| T. Ward | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bennett | 37 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| D. Montgomery | 33 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| K. Jones | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Simon | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| A. L'Etang | 19 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Derkack | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Conner | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Thomas | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Heard | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter