Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -6 (62-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Evans | 36 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | -3.0 |
| Lazar Djokovic | 34 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +9.0 |
| Nyk Lewis | 30 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4.9 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 24 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Brandon Jennings | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | +7.9 |
| Michael Belle | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +10.5 |
| Jadrian Tracey | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Tyrell Ward | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.6 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett | 37 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +2.0 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery | 33 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | -4.6 |
| Keonte Jones | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -7.3 |
| Jaiun Simon | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -10.6 |
| Amael L'Etang | 19 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Jordan Derkack | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +2.6 |
| Jacob Conner | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +3.3 |
| Malcolm Thomas | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Bryce Heard | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +2.1 |
* = starter