Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams -9 (62-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Jones | 31 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | +13.4 |
| R. Avila | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +2.0 |
| D. Brown | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +11.9 |
| K. Thames | 22 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 22 | +8.2 |
| T. Green | 21 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +4.5 |
| I. Sharma | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.3 |
| P. Otieno | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -7.9 |
| B. Dunlap | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +5.4 |
| A. McCottry | 19 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +15.0 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Evans | 34 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -11.2 |
| L. Djokovic | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 18 | +0.6 |
| B. Jennings | 28 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -9.9 |
| J. Tracey | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -8.5 |
| M. Belle | 23 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +4.1 |
| T. Hill Jr. | 22 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | -8.9 |
| N. Lewis | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -7.4 |
| A. Nowell | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +3.4 |
* = starter