Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: VCU Rams -9 (62-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Jones | 31 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | +10.8 |
| Robbie Avila | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +5.7 |
| Dion Brown | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +7.4 |
| Kellen Thames | 22 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 22 | +7.6 |
| Trey Green | 21 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Ishan Sharma | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Paul Otieno | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -12.8 |
| Brady Dunlap | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +5.7 |
| Amari McCottry | 19 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +12.2 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Evans | 34 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -12.8 |
| Lazar Djokovic | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 18 | +7.4 |
| Brandon Jennings | 28 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4.1 |
| Jadrian Tracey | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -7.1 |
| Michael Belle | 23 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +5.4 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 22 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | -5.5 |
| Nyk Lewis | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.6 |
| Ahmad Nowell | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +3.5 |
* = starter