Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.5% | 17.5% | -8.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders -11 (67-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hill Jr. | 36 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| L. Djokovic | 33 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | - |
| N. Lewis | 27 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Tracey | 24 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| B. Evans | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Jennings | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Belle | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Ward | 12 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. Nowell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Johnston | 38 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Lopez | 37 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| M. Walz | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| A. Argabright | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| C. Tanner | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Daughtry | 14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| M. Tyne | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Beagle | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Robinson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Thomas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter