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2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model VCU Rams Richmond Spiders Spread Result
Elo 93.4% 6.6% -
Bradley-Terry 76.9% 23.1% -
Margin 82.5% 17.5% -8.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% -
Efficiency 91.5% 8.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.7% 14.3% -
Log Adjusted 85.7% 14.3% -
Points Off/Def 66.4% 33.6% -

Actual: Richmond Spiders -11 (67-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hill Jr. 36 6-14 4-10 4-5 5 3 1 0 1 20 14 -
L. Djokovic 33 0-3 0-2 5-6 9 2 1 3 3 5 14 -
N. Lewis 27 3-5 2-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 10 9 -
J. Tracey 24 6-13 2-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 14 3 -
B. Evans 23 2-5 0-2 1-2 4 4 2 0 1 5 9 -
B. Jennings 20 2-5 1-3 2-2 3 4 0 1 2 7 8 -
M. Belle 18 3-8 0-1 1-2 10 0 0 1 0 7 10 -
T. Ward 12 3-5 2-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 10 5 -
A. Nowell 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Mitchell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Johnston 38 6-14 4-8 1-1 3 2 1 0 0 17 9 -
A.J. Lopez 37 4-13 0-3 6-6 1 3 0 0 0 14 5 -
M. Walz 27 2-5 0-2 6-6 9 2 0 0 0 10 16 -
A. Argabright 25 0-4 0-1 9-10 4 2 0 0 0 9 11 -
C. Tanner 21 1-3 0-1 2-4 4 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
J. Daughtry 14 2-7 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -3 -
M. Tyne 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
J. Beagle 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 4 2 -
J. Robinson 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
D. Thomas 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter