Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +26 (99-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bennett | 35 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| K. Jones | 33 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. L'Etang | 31 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Derkack | 29 | 3-13 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| B. Heard | 25 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Friery | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Conner | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Simon | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Pouedet | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Thomas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tracey | 30 | 9-12 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| T. Hill Jr. | 28 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| L. Djokovic | 26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| B. Jennings | 24 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Belle | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| T. Ward | 20 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| N. Lewis | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Nowell | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Evans | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Tillery | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Dumont | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter