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2026-03-03

Model Predictions

Model George Mason Patriots VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 10.5% 89.5% -
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 28.2% 71.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.5% 79.5% -
Log Adjusted 20.3% 79.7% -
Points Off/Def 29.1% 70.9% -

Actual: VCU Rams +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Long 38 2-11 0-6 3-3 2 5 3 0 2 7 4 -
M. Troutman 38 3-7 1-4 2-2 7 1 1 1 3 9 9 -
R. Allenspach 32 7-10 0-1 3-5 10 1 0 1 0 17 19 -
K. Mincy 31 6-10 4-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 18 7 -
N. Ellington 20 4-7 0-0 1-3 3 1 1 0 0 9 7 -
E. Kanga 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
D. Booker 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 2 -
D. Adebayo 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Presley 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Sivka 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hill Jr. 31 5-13 2-7 4-4 1 2 1 0 2 16 5 -
B. Jennings 29 4-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 8 6 -
J. Tracey 25 5-11 2-7 2-4 6 1 1 0 3 14 8 -
L. Djokovic 24 4-6 1-2 3-4 5 0 0 0 0 12 11 -
M. Belle 24 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 0 5 9 -
N. Lewis 21 0-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
T. Ward 18 1-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 3 0 -
B. Evans 16 2-6 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
K. Mitchell 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter