Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Long | 38 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Troutman | 38 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Allenspach | 32 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| K. Mincy | 31 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| N. Ellington | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Kanga | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Booker | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Adebayo | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Presley | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Sivka | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hill Jr. | 31 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| B. Jennings | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Tracey | 25 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| L. Djokovic | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Belle | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| N. Lewis | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| T. Ward | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Evans | 16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter