Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: VCU Rams -3 (78-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Hall * | 32 | 9-15 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 10 | +1.3 |
| C. Howell * | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -13.3 |
| Antonio Chol * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +7.7 |
| Tomislav Buljan * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | -12.2 |
| Deyton Albury * | 22 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +7.3 |
| Uriah Tenette | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +5.5 |
| Luke Haupt | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | +18.0 |
| JT Rock | 18 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +20.0 |
| K. Patton Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.2 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Evans * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -9.4 |
| Lazar Djokovic * | 32 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 5 | -4.4 |
| Brandon Jennings * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 22 | +7.8 |
| Jadrian Tracey * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | -6.4 |
| Nyk Lewis * | 26 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Michael Belle | 25 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -0.7 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -9.0 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.5 |
| Tyrell Ward | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
* = starter