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Saint Joseph's Hawks 72
@
VCU Rams 79
2026-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Saint Joseph's Hawks VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% - ✓
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 ✓ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% - ✓
Efficiency 4.1% 95.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 10.9% 89.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 10.7% 89.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 23.7% 76.3% - ✓

Actual: VCU Rams +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Simpson 36 10-16 5-7 2-2 1 4 1 0 4 27 13 +2.8
J. Ajogbor 34 4-8 0-0 2-3 9 2 0 6 1 10 18 +4.3
J. Glover-Toscano 28 2-9 1-5 1-4 4 1 2 0 4 6 0 +7.6
D. Haskins 27 3-9 0-1 2-4 8 3 1 0 3 8 8 +1.5
A. Williford 26 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 0 -1.4
A. Finkley 23 2-3 1-2 5-6 4 1 0 0 3 10 9 +9.8
K. Myers 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 4 9 -6.2
J. Smith 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -1.1

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hill Jr. 30 3-11 2-8 5-6 2 8 3 0 0 13 15 +5.2
M. Belle 30 9-11 2-4 0-0 5 0 3 2 0 20 19 +8.3
B. Jennings 27 6-12 4-4 2-2 3 1 2 1 2 18 11 -3.8
B. Evans 25 3-7 1-2 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 7 9 -4.4
T. Ward 23 2-4 1-3 4-6 4 1 0 0 2 9 8 +5.9
L. Djokovic 23 3-7 1-2 0-2 4 2 1 1 2 7 6 -8.6
J. Tracey 20 1-7 0-4 1-2 1 2 0 1 2 3 -2 -8.0
A. Nowell 11 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 2 4 +0.8
N. Lewis 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -6.4

* = starter