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2025-12-31

Model Predictions

Model St. Bonaventure Bonnies VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 9.4% 90.6% -
Bradley-Terry 13.7% 86.3% -
Margin 9.3% 90.7% +12.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.0% 91.0% -
Log Adjusted 8.8% 91.2% -
Points Off/Def 22.8% 77.2% -

Actual: VCU Rams +7 (89-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Simmons II 40 9-16 4-5 0-0 2 7 1 0 1 22 15 +0.4
F. Mitchell 39 10-18 0-1 4-5 7 1 1 0 2 24 13 -0.8
D. Bowen 35 4-9 1-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 11 6 -2.9
C. Charles 32 4-7 0-0 6-6 6 3 0 0 2 14 14 +2.6
D. Egbuniwe 24 3-8 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 7 5 +4.4
J. Grahovac 16 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 2 4 -2.1
A. Marshall 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -4.3
A. Lonati 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 +4.2

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Djokovic 38 9-12 0-2 5-5 4 1 0 1 1 23 16 -4.9
B. Evans 31 5-7 0-1 0-1 1 4 1 1 2 10 8 +7.9
N. Lewis 30 2-7 1-3 1-1 7 2 0 0 0 6 8 +7.5
B. Jennings 29 3-6 0-1 14-15 1 2 0 1 0 20 18 +1.3
T. Hill Jr. 27 5-9 3-6 6-6 3 2 1 0 1 19 15 +0.6
J. Tracey 24 4-10 1-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 9 3 -1.3
M. Belle 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -6.1

* = starter