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2026-02-11

Model Predictions

Model VCU Rams La Salle Explorers Spread Result
Elo 94.1% 5.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 88.0% 12.0% - โœ“
Margin 93.5% 6.5% -14.6 โœ“ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 76.0% 24.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 94.8% 5.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.4% 6.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.5% 6.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 77.1% 22.9% - โœ“

Actual: La Salle Explorers -9 (68-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lazar Djokovic 34 10-17 1-1 5-10 8 2 1 1 2 26 19 +2.4
Nyk Lewis 30 4-7 1-3 2-3 11 4 1 0 1 11 19 +0.0
Jadrian Tracey 29 6-13 2-7 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 14 2 -3.2
Brandon Jennings 28 3-5 2-3 0-1 4 2 0 2 1 8 10 -2.4
Terrence Hill Jr. 24 4-11 2-6 4-4 2 4 0 0 2 14 7 -3.2
Michael Belle 22 1-5 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 4 3 2 6 -1.2
Barry Evans 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -8.9
Tyrell Ward 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -11.3
Ahmad Nowell 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.2
Keyshawn Mitchell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.3

La Salle Explorers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ashton Walker 36 5-13 1-5 3-4 4 3 1 0 2 14 7 +3.0
Jaden Johnson 35 2-7 0-1 3-4 4 7 2 0 0 7 13 +2.1
Rob Dockery 27 6-12 0-2 5-7 8 2 1 1 0 17 17 +20.3
Truth Harris 26 4-7 2-5 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 12 8 -3.5
Jaeden Marshall 25 2-7 1-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 7 2 +6.2
Josiah Harris 24 4-9 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 2 +7.5
Edwin Daniel 13 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 4 1 3 4 +4.9
Damon Strand 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 0 2 +3.9
Nas Hart 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.2

* = starter