Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Fordham Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.8% | 13.2% | -10.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fordham Rams -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 37 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +7.1 |
| Lazar Djokovic | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 16 | +3.7 |
| Brandon Jennings | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +6.8 |
| Barry Evans | 29 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | -1.8 |
| Michael Belle | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -3.0 |
| Tyrell Ward | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Jadrian Tracey | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Ahmad Nowell | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -5.3 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeJour Reaves | 35 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | +1.7 |
| Akira Jacobs | 32 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Rikus Schulte | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +9.2 |
| Roor Akhuar | 25 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +6.7 |
| Christian Henry | 25 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Louis Lesmond | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Abass Bodija | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Jack Whitbourn | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -9.0 |
| Marcus Greene | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Kingston Price | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter