Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.5% | 23.5% | -6.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats -6 (69-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazar Djokovic | 35 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15 | -0.2 |
| Michael Belle | 33 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 31 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | -5.0 |
| Barry Evans | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | -1.3 |
| Brandon Jennings | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +5.9 |
| Tyrell Ward | 15 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Nyk Lewis | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Ahmad Nowell | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.8 |
| Jadrian Tracey | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -7.2 |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Brown | 31 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +9.8 |
| Josh Scovens | 29 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +9.0 |
| Parker Friedrichsen | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +5.4 |
| Sam Brown | 24 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | +11.5 |
| Sean Logan | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Nick Coval | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6.1 |
| Roberts Blums | 15 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -1.0 |
| J. Roberts | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Hunter Adam | 11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -5.7 |
| Ian Platteeuw | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Manie Joses | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6.9 |
* = starter