Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +6 (85-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Evans * | 34 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | -10.7 |
| L. Djokovic * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | -9.8 |
| N. Lewis * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -8.0 |
| J. Tracey * | 29 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | -0.8 |
| B. Jennings * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -6.5 |
| T. Ward | 26 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -15.3 |
| T. Hill Jr. | 15 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | -0.5 |
| C. Fermin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Belle | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| A. Nowell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Holloman * | 34 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 10-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 13 | +13.1 |
| Dar. Williams * | 33 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 20 | +11.3 |
| P. McNeil * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | +11.5 |
| Q. Copeland * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -3.7 |
| V. Lubin * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Sagnia | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +11.1 |
| M. Able | 17 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +8.1 |
| J. Deng | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.8 |
| A. Breed | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.3 |
* = starter