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VCU

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

85.0
PPG
80.5
Opp
+4.5
Margin
43.4%
FG%
42.9%
3P%
76.0%
FT%
33.5
RPG
15.0
APG
13.0
TO
70.0
Est. poss./game
74.7
Adj PPG
72.4
Adj Opp PPG
#36
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1472 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1200, returning +175, transfers +34, freshmen +63 More โ†’ 1460 (#14) Preseason prior 1472 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1200, returning +175, transfers +34, freshmen +63
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +229 elo More โ†’ 1275 (#13) HCA +229 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +229 elo More โ†’ 1137 (#16) HCA +229 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +0.6 More โ†’ +12.7 (#59) HCA +0.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +0.6 More โ†’ +12.2 (#61) HCA +0.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.842 (#63) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.5 More โ†’ 0.750 (#54) AdjNet +3.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.5 More โ†’ 0.752 (#54) AdjNet +3.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 72.4 More โ†’ 0.748 (#36) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 72.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 72.4 More โ†’ 0.674 (#46) AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 72.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.774 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.761 (#44) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 195 | GP 2 More โ†’ 1292 (#18) RD 195 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.927 (#17) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Little Rock Trojans W 82 - 72
2026-11-07 @ Memphis Tigers L 88 - 89
2026-11-11 vs NJIT Highlanders - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Blake Harper Blake Harper G 2 33.0 18.0 3.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 11.5 10.5 -4 1 -4.0 -4.5 43.5 46.7 75.0 -0.01 63.6 58.7
Nyk Lewis Nyk Lewis G 2 33.5 14.5 2.5 6.0 1.5 0.0 3.5 9.0 12.0 2 1 2.0 2.6 44.4 37.5 83.3 0.95 62.3 52.8
Lazar Djokovic Lazar Djokovic F 2 32.0 11.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 8.0 8.0 -8 1 -8.0 -11.2 31.2 16.7 75.0 1.71 49.9 34.4
Ahmad Nowell Ahmad Nowell G 2 22.0 11.5 5.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 9.0 7.5 11 1 11.0 20.0 33.3 40.0 87.5 0.38 53.4 44.4
Torey Alston Torey Alston F 2 30.5 10.5 8.5 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 19.0 1 1 1.0 1.3 62.5 50.0 76.9 0.29 76.5 68.8
Tyrell Ward Tyrell Ward G 2 9.5 6.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.5 5 1 5.0 18.4 66.7 100.0 75.0 0.7 77.3 75.0
Brandon Jennings Brandon Jennings G 2 17.0 5.5 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 4.0 4.5 -14 1 -14.0 -27.0 37.5 50.0 100.0 0.58 56.4 43.8
Michael Belle Michael Belle F 2 14.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 2.5 4.0 -2 1 -2.0 -5.1 60.0 50.0 25.0 0.29 59.2 70.0
Nyle Ralph-Beyer Nyle Ralph-Beyer G 1 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Sammy Jackson Sammy Jackson G 2 6.5 1.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 4 1 4.0 26.7 33.3 50.0 0 0.04 50.0 50.0
Jordan Tillery Jordan Tillery G 1 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Stefan Plisnic Stefan Plisnic F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Collin Ross Collin Ross F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Joshua Wyche Joshua Wyche G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former VCU players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last VCU game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Bones Hyland 2019-21 NBA Minnesota Timberwolves 11 12.3 8.5 1.3 2.5 11-08 14 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast 11 GP, 8.5 PPG, 1.3 RPG, 2.5 APG
Ace Baldwin Jr. 2020-23 G League Osceola Magic 0 - - - - 11-08 5 pts, 1 reb, 5 ast Play-In 1 GP, 5.0 PPG, 1.0 RPG, 5.0 APG
Jayden Nunn 2021-23 G League Austin Spurs 0 - - - - 11-08 12 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast Play-In 2 GP, 12.0 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 1.5 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-08 Jayden Nunn G League Play-In Austin Spurs vs Birmingham Squadron 33 12 2 2 Box
2026-11-08 Bones Hyland NBA Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz 13 14 2 2 Box
2026-11-08 Ace Baldwin Jr. G League Play-In Osceola Magic vs Oklahoma City Blue 29 5 1 5 Box
2026-11-06 Jayden Nunn G League Play-In Austin Spurs @ Rio Grande Valley Vipers 22 12 7 1 Box
2026-11-06 Bones Hyland NBA Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans 10 4 1 0 Box
2026-11-04 Bones Hyland NBA Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets 16 19 2 4 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

106 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Lewis22% Alston33% Djokovic100% Nowell50% Harper33% Harper43% Harper25% Nowell60%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Nowell22% Djokovic26% Lewis100% Lewis100% Nowell50% Harper50% Lewis100% Nowell33% Harper25% Harper29%
Misses: who misses most here

Blake HarperNyk LewisAhmad NowellLazar DjokovicTorey Alston

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 18-27 66.7 36 Nyk Lewis 22% (8 pts) Blake Harper 17% (6 pts) Ahmad Nowell 22% (2 misses) Nyk Lewis 22% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 6-25 24.0 12 Torey Alston 33% (4 pts) Brandon Jennings 17% (2 pts) Lazar Djokovic 26% (5 misses) Blake Harper 21% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 1-2 50.0 2 Lazar Djokovic 100% (2 pts) - Nyk Lewis 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range center 0-1 0.0 0 - - Nyk Lewis 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 0-2 0.0 0 - - Ahmad Nowell 50% (1 misses) Blake Harper 50% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 2-6 33.3 6 Ahmad Nowell 50% (3 pts) Tyrell Ward 50% (3 pts) Blake Harper 50% (2 misses) Ahmad Nowell 25% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 3-4 75.0 9 Blake Harper 33% (3 pts) Michael Belle 33% (3 pts) Nyk Lewis 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 7-19 36.8 21 Blake Harper 43% (9 pts) Lazar Djokovic 14% (3 pts) Ahmad Nowell 33% (4 misses) Blake Harper 25% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 4-8 50.0 12 Blake Harper 25% (3 pts) Brandon Jennings 25% (3 pts) Blake Harper 25% (1 misses) Lazar Djokovic 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-12 41.7 15 Ahmad Nowell 60% (9 pts) Blake Harper 40% (6 pts) Blake Harper 29% (2 misses) Lazar Djokovic 29% (2 misses)