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Toledo Rockets

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Toledo Rockets
Program History
Coach: Tod Kowalczyk

2026 Team Stats (33 games)

80.5
PPG
75.9
Opp
+4.6
Margin
48.8%
FG%
37.1%
3P%
75.7%
FT%
33.6
RPG
16.0
APG
10.2
TO
79.1
Pace
77.8
AdjO
76.3
AdjD
#140
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1105 (#90) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1003 (#177) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1075 (#77) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +1.6 (#143) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +15.9 (#137) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.585 (#121) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.8 More → 0.431 (#191) NetEff -2.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.0 More → 0.557 (#141) AdjNet +2.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.9 More → 0.556 (#141) AdjNet +1.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 76.3 More → 0.534 (#140) AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 76.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 71.3 More → 0.639 (#79) AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 71.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.812 (#116) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.783 (#110) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 124 | GP 33 More → 1146 (#93) RD 124 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs South Alabama Jaguars L 74 - 76
2025-11-08 vs Marshall Thundering Herd L 73 - 85
2025-11-11 @ Wright State Raiders W 81 - 71
2025-11-15 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 90 - 83
2025-11-19 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 92 - 75
2025-11-24 @ Troy Trojans W 75 - 68
2025-11-26 vs Belmont Bruins L 72 - 87
2025-12-01 vs Central State (OH) Marauders W 102 - 58
2025-12-13 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 70 - 75
2025-12-16 @ Michigan State Spartans L 69 - 92
2025-12-20 vs Lourdes University Gray Wolves W 100 - 67
2025-12-30 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 84 - 79
2026-01-03 @ Central Michigan Chippewas W 78 - 75
2026-01-06 @ Northern Illinois Huskies W 75 - 61
2026-01-09 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks L 73 - 87
2026-01-13 vs Ohio Bobcats W 101 - 85
2026-01-16 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 84 - 87
2026-01-20 @ Massachusetts Minutemen L 82 - 84
2026-01-24 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 73 - 72
2026-01-27 @ Akron Zips L 81 - 91
2026-01-31 vs Ball State Cardinals W 73 - 55
2026-02-03 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 72 - 75
2026-02-07 @ James Madison Dukes L 71 - 73
2026-02-11 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 90 - 79
2026-02-14 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 70 - 80
2026-02-21 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 94 - 75
2026-02-24 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 79 - 69
2026-02-28 @ Ohio Bobcats W 79 - 67
2026-03-03 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 72 - 74
2026-03-06 vs Buffalo Bulls W 98 - 78
2026-03-12 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 77 - 76
2026-03-13 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 77 - 67
2026-03-14 @ Akron Zips L 76 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Wilson S. Wilson - 33 36.2 17.0 3.7 4.5 1.3 0.0 1.5 13.2 11.8 8 0.3 0.6 49.0 38.2 69.5 -0.14 56.7 53.8
Leroy Blyden Jr. Leroy Blyden Jr. - 33 33.5 16.3 4.0 4.5 1.8 0.3 1.8 12.2 12.9 66 3.0 4.9 45.8 41.0 84.1 0.37 59.6 55.1
S. Craig S. Craig - 33 31.6 11.5 7.2 1.5 0.8 0.2 1.1 8.6 11.6 75 3.4 5.9 48.8 36.6 74.7 0.58 59.0 55.3
A. Parks A. Parks - 33 25.2 10.8 5.5 1.8 0.6 1.3 1.9 6.5 11.7 0 0.0 0.0 62.0 30.0 71.3 -0.28 66.4 62.7
K. Vanderjagt K. Vanderjagt - 33 22.0 8.2 1.7 1.1 1.1 0.0 1.2 6.2 4.7 16 0.7 1.4 45.3 39.2 77.8 -0.13 58.7 54.7
J. Ouwinga J. Ouwinga - 33 18.3 6.0 3.2 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.8 5.2 5.2 -11 -0.5 -1.5 48.5 31.6 62.5 -0.2 53.5 52.0
Mynor Strong Mynor Strong - 33 17.7 5.2 1.8 0.8 1.0 0.1 0.6 4.6 3.7 50 2.4 8.7 41.7 34.9 89.3 0.47 53.0 49.0
C. Riddle C. Riddle - 3 13.0 4.3 2.0 1.7 0.0 0.0 1.7 3.3 3.0 14 4.7 20.2 60.0 20.0 0 0.13 65.0 65.0
Will James, Jr. Will James, Jr. - 33 9.3 3.1 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.6 2.3 3.2 -22 -1.2 -9.2 53.2 33.3 93.3 0.1 60.4 56.5
London Praytor London Praytor - 16 4.6 2.2 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.9 2.2 7 0.6 16.9 41.9 23.5 100.0 0.04 53.5 48.4
Phoenix Glassnor Phoenix Glassnor G 5 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 2.0 1.2 0 0.0 0.0 40.0 20.0 100.0 -0.05 50.6 45.0
T. Nwokolo T. Nwokolo - 6 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.3 - - - 50.0 0.0 0.0 - 46.6 50.0
T. Ode T. Ode - 14 3.2 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.5 -5 -0.4 -9.3 36.4 25.0 0 -0.14 45.5 45.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG