Model Predictions
| Model | Miami (OH) RedHawks | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -14 (73-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami (OH) RedHawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Byers | 37 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | +26.0 |
| P. Suder | 36 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | +19.8 |
| E. Elmer | 31 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | +22.7 |
| L. Skaljac | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +14.8 |
| A. Woolfolk | 25 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 16 | +12.6 |
| A. Atlason | 15 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +9.8 |
| J. Kirby | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Waltz | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 |
| T. Robbins | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +7.1 |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilson | 39 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | -24.4 |
| L. Blyden Jr. | 34 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | -21.4 |
| S. Craig | 33 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | -20.2 |
| A. Parks | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -19.5 |
| K. Vanderjagt | 24 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | -21.5 |
| M. Strong | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -8.7 |
| J. Ouwinga | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -5.9 |
| W. James Jr. | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter