Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Central Michigan Chippewas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.4% | 22.6% | -6.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Blyden Jr. | 39 | 2-12 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +6.8 |
| S. Wilson | 38 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +3.6 |
| S. Craig | 35 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +18.2 |
| K. Vanderjagt | 33 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | +20.5 |
| A. Parks | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | +11.2 |
| M. Strong | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.2 |
| J. Ouwinga | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -16.7 |
| W. James Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Adley | 31 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -1.2 |
| N. Claerbaut | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +1.5 |
| K. Garner | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -8.5 |
| P. Brooks | 25 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | -17.4 |
| N. Mullen | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6.6 |
| L. McIntire | 23 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +6.5 |
| J. Whitaker | 23 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | -2.8 |
| J. Kampen | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Ashford | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.6 |
* = starter