Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +1 (73-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Campbell | 40 | 12-20 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 19 | +6.8 |
| S. Towns | 40 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | +3.4 |
| J. Ruffin | 32 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -0.4 |
| T. Glover II | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +0.3 |
| J. Shackelford | 23 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +11.7 |
| M. Wol | 22 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -6.4 |
| A. Goins | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3.6 |
| J. Thomas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.2 |
| C. Karel | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilson | 39 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -2.6 |
| S. Craig | 34 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +8.2 |
| K. Vanderjagt | 33 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -8.0 |
| L. Blyden Jr. | 31 | 8-17 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | +3.1 |
| A. Parks | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -11.3 |
| J. Ouwinga | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -1.4 |
| M. Strong | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.1 |
| W. James Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter